Delphi technique - определение. Что такое Delphi technique
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Что (кто) такое Delphi technique - определение

STRUCTURED COMMUNICATION TECHNIQUE OR METHOD
Delphi technique; Delphi effect; Delphi Technique; Delphic method; Delphic technique; Delphi pools; Delphi pool; Delphi Pool; Methods of expert estimations; Method of expert estimations; Delphi study; The Delphi method; Delphi consensus; Delphi poll; Mini-Delphi
  • The Delphi method communication structure
  • A web-based communication structure (Hyperdelphi)<ref name="Bolognini"/>

Delphi Technique         
<programming, tool> A group forecasting technique, generally used for future events such as technological developments, that uses estimates from experts and feedback summaries of these estimates for additional estimates by these experts until reasonable consensus occurs. It has been used in various software cost-estimating activities, including estimation of factors influencing software costs. (1996-05-29)
Delphi method         
The Delphi method or Delphi technique ( ; also known as Estimate-Talk-Estimate or ETE) is a structured communication technique or method, originally developed as a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts.Bernice B.
Delphi         
  • ''Delphi'' by [[Edward Lear]] features the [[Phaedriades]]
  • Fresco of Delphic sibyl painted by Michaelangelo at the Sistine Chapel
  • Section of the frieze from the [[Treasury of the Siphnians]], now in the museum
  • Athena Pronaia Sanctuary at Delphi
  • Vulva of the Earth, Ge or Gaia, with the two [[Phaedriades]] above resembling her breasts. In this drawing the village of Castro still occupies the site. The footprint of the modern road is in the foreground. The village was thus entirely on the upper site. Below the road is the Marmoria, or "marble quarry", where the villagers mined structural stone. The picture below shows the site after the removal of the village.
  • [[Cyriacus of Ancona]], first Westerner to describe the remains in Delphi in 1436
  • ''View of Delphi with Sacrificial Procession'' by [[Claude Lorrain]]
  • The theatre at Delphi (as viewed near the top seats)
  • phiale]])
  • Nocolas' Gerbel' fanciful Delphic castle
  • Ruins of the ancient temple of Apollo at Delphi, overlooking the valley of Phocis
  • Speculative illustration of ancient Delphi by French architect Albert Tournaire
  • Tholos]] at the base of [[Mount Parnassus]]: 3 of 20 [[Doric column]]s
  • The polygonal wall, 1902
  • Willoughby Vera]] - Itea is a town located in Greece
  • Delphi among the main Greek sanctuaries
  • Archaeological Museum of Delphi, designed by [[Alexandros Tombazis]]
  • The [[Society of Dilettanti]] organized a study expedition to Delphi in 1766
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  • Section of polygonal wall at Delphi, behind a pillar from the Athenian Stoa
  • View of the Athenian Treasury; the Stoa of the Athenians on the right
  • The ancient [[Gymnasium at Delphi]]
  • The reconstructed Treasury of the Athenians, built to commemorate their victory at the [[Battle of Marathon]]
  • The mountain-top stadium at Delphi
ANCIENT TOWN IN GREECE
Sibylline Rock; Delphi, Greece; Delphoi; Delfoi; Temple at Delphi; Archaeological Site of Delphi; Δελφοί; Theatre of Delphi; Tholos (Delphi); Delphic Landscape; Ancient Delphi; Roman Agora (Delphi); Delphi in Late Antiquity; History of Delphi
1. <company, communications> A US Internet service provider. [Addresses?] (1995-04-06) 2. <language> Borland's Object Oriented Pascal (OOPascal) Rapid Application Development package for {Microsoft Windows}. Delphi combines visual, component-based design with an optimising native code compiler and scalable database access. (1996-05-27)

Википедия

Delphi method

The Delphi method or Delphi technique ( DEL-fy; also known as Estimate-Talk-Estimate or ETE) is a structured communication technique or method, originally developed as a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts. The technique can also be adapted for use in face-to-face meetings, and is then called mini-Delphi. Delphi has been widely used for business forecasting and has certain advantages over another structured forecasting approach, prediction markets.

Delphi can also be used to help reach expert consensus and develop professional guidelines. It is used for such purposes in many health-related fields, including clinical medicine, public health, and research.

Delphi is based on the principle that forecasts (or decisions) from a structured group of individuals are more accurate than those from unstructured groups. The experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. After each round, a facilitator or change agent provides an anonymised summary of the experts' forecasts from the previous round as well as the reasons they provided for their judgments. Thus, experts are encouraged to revise their earlier answers in light of the replies of other members of their panel. It is believed that during this process the range of the answers will decrease and the group will converge towards the "correct" answer. Finally, the process is stopped after a predefined stop criterion (e.g., number of rounds, achievement of consensus, stability of results), and the mean or median scores of the final rounds determine the results.

Special attention has to be paid to the formulation of the Delphi theses and the definition and selection of the experts in order to avoid methodological weaknesses that severely threaten the validity and reliability of the results.